Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.185341 0.218198 0.254895 0.298881 0.350133 0.407932 0.478029
2025-09-28 0.134853 0.176725 0.228417 0.296767 0.384613 0.493560 0.638781
2025-10-05 0.112654 0.159823 0.222516 0.311597 0.434553 0.597895 0.830933
2025-10-12 0.099081 0.150034 0.221975 0.330371 0.488902 0.711509 1.046932
2025-10-19 0.086452 0.138618 0.216270 0.339414 0.528792 0.807773 1.248394
2025-10-26 0.074656 0.126094 0.206421 0.339833 0.554491 0.884603 1.428388
2025-11-02 0.063095 0.111870 0.191516 0.329601 0.561273 0.931963 1.566691
2025-11-09 0.052759 0.097940 0.174890 0.313798 0.556179 0.958643 1.673107
2025-11-16 0.046815 0.090656 0.168270 0.313654 0.576589 1.028166 1.856534
2025-11-23 0.040570 0.081841 0.157684 0.304904 0.580477 1.069303 1.994539
2025-11-30 0.037182 0.077894 0.155329 0.310650 0.610714 1.158960 2.226800
2025-12-07 0.033599 0.073019 0.150544 0.311053 0.630733 1.231694 2.434852
2025-12-14 0.029574 0.066895 0.143006 0.306110 0.641855 1.292733 2.635052
2025-12-21 0.026322 0.061940 0.137224 0.304110 0.658938 1.367821 2.872715
2025-12-28 0.024988 0.060975 0.139579 0.319308 0.712901 1.521078 3.282531
2026-01-04 0.024072 0.060808 0.143592 0.338531 0.777541 1.702617 3.769549
2026-01-11 0.022479 0.058780 0.143171 0.347789 0.821567 1.845834 4.191263
2026-01-18 0.020464 0.055391 0.139144 0.348218 0.845838 1.949332 4.538295
2026-01-25 0.018029 0.050537 0.130972 0.337743 0.843719 1.994730 4.761715
2026-02-01 0.015593 0.045266 0.121024 0.321564 0.826038 2.003097 4.901889
2026-02-08 0.014267 0.042776 0.117694 0.321417 0.847030 2.102176 5.262204
2026-02-15 0.012679 0.039283 0.111275 0.312458 0.844985 2.146773 5.497956
2026-02-22 0.011901 0.037998 0.110533 0.318341 0.881370 2.287299 5.980323